My first week of making picks went well, in fact, it couldn’t have been any better. I went 3-0 with last week’s picks. Looking at Week 6, there are a few games that stand out to me. Here are this week’s NFL betting lines for Week 6…
1. San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins (-11)
The 49ers come into this game with an 0-and-5 record and are already looking like a team that will have the No. 1 overall pick locked up by the end of the season. There are a lot of factors working against the 49ers in this game, 1) they are playing in a 1 pm eastern standard time game, something that west coast teams traditionally struggle with, 2) they get a well-rested Redskins team that will be coming off of their bye week, 3) their secondary will likely be short-handed after having three DBs go out in last week’s game.
With all that said, I don’t think the Redskins will cover the 11-point spread. They will likely win the game, but it will be closer than people think. The 49ers have now lost four straight games by three points or less. Despite all of their issues both offensively and defensively, they compete on every play. The Redskins will be without their shut-down corner Josh Norman, which will benefit former Redskin WR Pierre Garcon in his first game playing against his former team. Pick: 49ers plus the points
2. Pittsburg Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs (-4.5)
In last week’s column, I said the Chiefs were not getting any respect as a one-point favorite against the rookie QB Deshaun Watson and his Houston Texans, and that disrespect continues. The Chiefs are only giving 4.5 points to the Steelers. The Steelers have looked terrible so far this year, Ben Roethlisberger, in particular, has been awful.
Roethlisberger has always been bad on the road even before this season, in fact, last season he had 20 TDs in six home games compared to 10 TDs in away games, despite playing two more games on the road due to injuries. The Chiefs have struggled somewhat defensively this season, but traditionally they are much better at home with their version of the 12th-man in Arrowhead. Pick: Chiefs to cover
3. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) vs Arizona Cardinals
The Buccaneers are another team that has struggled early after coming into the season with high expectations. They are coming off a tough Thursday night loss to the Patriots with their kicker missing three field goals. The Cardinals, on the other hand, haven’t recovered from their loss of All-Pro David Johnson and they have struggled in their own right.
The Cardinals made a desperation trade this week with the New Orlean Saints to bring in Adrian Peterson hoping to shore up their run game. Peterson is past his prime and I don’t see him making much of an impact. The Cardinals’ offense is a pass-happy scheme, and Peterson has never been a big part of the passing game for any team he has played for, I can’t see a scenario in which this trade works out.
The Bucs typically stout defense has struggled early in the season, due mainly to injuries and a bout with an illness that struck their defense two weeks ago. They are getting healthy and should have no trouble slowing down this Cardinals offense. The 1.5 points they are giving in this game is too low, they will easily cover that. Pick: Bucs to cover