Top Pitching Options
Chris Archer (DK – $10400, FD – $10200) – Chris Archer has been absolutely dominant this year and is rightfully in the discussion for all-star game starter in the AL. Archer has a ridiculous 2.43 SIERA and 32.7% strikeout rate. He might night have the name recognition now as one of the top pitchers in baseball, but he will soon. The Rays take on the Mariners, who sport a 0.293 wOBA (26th) and 23.5% strikeout rate (28th) vs. RHP. Archer is the top pitching option on the day for both cash and GPPs.
Mike Fiers (DK – $8100, FD – $7800) – Mike Fiers has been a sneak good pitcher this year. The reason we look at SIERA, rather than ERA, is because we want to see how a pitcher actually pitches independent of other variables. While Fiers has a 4.06 ERA this year, he has a strong 3.27 SIERA (meaning he’s likely been unlucky) and 26.6% strikeout rate. Fiers faces a Twins team that does well against lefties but struggles against righties – 0.289 wOBA an 21.7% strikeout rate. With the game away from hitter friendly Miller Park, Fiers is a great play.
Ryan Vogelsong (DK – $6400, FD – $6600) – if you’re looking to go super cheap at pitcher, Vogelsong could be an option. He takes on a Phillies team with an atrocious 0.270 wOBA vs. RHP and they strikeout at an about league average 19.8% of the time. And despite Vogelsong being a pitcher we like to target against in DFS, he has posted four 20+ fantasy point games this year and is likely in line for another. Definitely GPP play only.
Top Hitting Options
Jason Kipnis (DK – $4800, FD – $4500) – The Indians face Bud Norris, who has really struggled this year with a 5.13 SIERA, 9.88 ERA, and 1.87 WHIP. He also allows a 0.494 wOBA vs. LHH, putting all the Indians’ lefties in play. That means Kipnis, who is always a good price under $5k. Kipnis has a 0.443 wOBA and 0.178 ISO vs. RHP on the year and should be in for a big day on Sunday.
Brandon Belt (DK – $4500, FD – $3600) – Belt is having a nice year and is easily one of my favorite play of the day. The Giants face off against Sean O’Sullivan, who gets dominated be lefties to the tune of a 0.509 wOBA and allows 2.06 HR/9 (and 5.29 HR/9 vs. LHH). Belt also hits righties very well with a 0.420 wOBA and 0.261 ISO. Belt also leaves pitcher friendly AT&T Park and plays in Citizens Bank Park. At a reasonable $4500, Belt is one of, if not the, top options at 1B.
Joey Gallo (DK – $3500, FD – $3200) – Gallo has understandably slowed down, going 0-4 on Friday and 1-5 yesterday. His price has come back down a bit, which is great because he has a nice matchup against Jeremy Guthrie. Guthrie has pitched poorly this year with a 5.60 SIERA (worst of the day), 1.67 HR/9, and allowed a 0.437 wOBA to LHH. In a very small sample, Gallo has a 0.617 wOBA and 0.571 ISO vs. RHP. There’s a decent chance Gallo takes Guthrie yard in this game and at $3500 that’s a great ROI.
Top Value Play
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Nick Hundley C (DK – $3800, FD – $2700) – Hundley offers cheap exposure to the Rockies and faces Jose Urena, who has struggled against RHH (0.454 wOBA against) and Hundley has hit RHP well with a 0.401 wOBA and 0.212 ISO. He got the day off Saturday so should be back in the lineup Sunday.
Top Stacks
Colorado Rockies vs. Jose Urena (Mia)
San Francisco Giants vs. Sean O’Sullivan (Phi)
Cleveland Indians vs. Bud Norris (Bal)
Texas Rangers vs. Jeremy Guthrie (KC)
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