Swing for the Fences: DFS Home Run Predictions (June 24)

Not a big home run day on Wednesday with just one long ball but it was from a low-owned source in Eugenio Suarez so hopefully it helped propel your lineup up the leaderboard. Tonight we have a full 15-game slate to examine and surprisingly only one recommendation from the game at Coors Field.

So with that here is who will be swinging for the fences today…

C – Welington Castillo (ARI) – Let’s get my one Coors Field play out of the way right off the bat at catcher with Castillo who has mashed lefties with a .352 ISO this season and faces Rockies lefty Tyler Anderson at Coors Field.

1B – Wil Myers (SD) – Myers has already reached a career-high with 16 homers this season and will get to face Reds rookie lefty Cody Reed who gave up two homers in his first big league start and has a favorable park adjustment playing in Cincinnati tonight.

2B – Starlin Castro (NYY) – Castro continues to show power this season including a walk-off homer on Wednesday. He holds a .188 ISO against lefties this season and will face Twins lefty Tommy Milone at Yankee Stadium who has given up 1.21 HR/9 to righties in his career.

SS – Manny Machado (BAL) – Fresh off his suspension, Machado comes back in a good spot against Rays home run prone lefty Matt Moore who has given up 1.77 HR/9 to righties this season.

3B – Alex Rodriguez (NYY) – Rodriguez has a significantly better ISO against lefties this season (.245) and has had great success against Tommy Milone hitting 4-for-9 with two homers.

OF – Matt Kemp (SD) – Kemp homered yesterday and will look to make it two days in a row against Reds lefty Cody Reed and the weak Reds bullpen. Kemp has eight homers and a .400 ISO against lefties this season.

OF – Bryce Harper (WAS) – Harper has hit two homers over his last seven games and will get a favorable park adjustment going to Milwaukee tonight. He will face Brewers righty Zach Davies who has pitched well lately but is still allowing 1.21 HR/9 at home to lefties.

OF – Mookie Betts (BOS) – Betts has been great this season with 36 extra-base hits in 72 games including 12 homers against righties for a .530 slugging percentage. With the Red Sox as the highest projected run total outside of Coors Field today, Betts is a good “bet” to put up a big stat line and potentially go deep.

Longshot – Chris Carter (MIL) If there is one thing that Max Scherzer has struggled with this it is the long ball allowing 1.46 HR/9 to righties. Meanwhile, Carter has smacked 10 of his 18 homers this season at home against righties.

 

Love our content? Check out the GoingFor2 Live Podcast Network!

Wednesday, June 22 – Results

Pos Name HR FD Pts
C Victor Martinez 0 3.0
1B Chris Davis 0 6.5
2B Ian Kinsler 0 3.0
SS Eduardo Nunez 0 12.5
3B Eugenio Suarez 1 34.7
OF Mitch Moreland 0 3.5
OF Adam Jones 0 12.4
OF Robbie Grossman 0 9.2
Longshot Prince Fielder 0 10.0

 

Season Results

Pos Picks HR HR Rate Avg FD Pts
C 13 4 30.8% 12.24
1B 11 1 9.1% 6.25
2B 12 0 0.0% 10.24
SS 12 2 16.7% 11.43
3B 12 4 33.3% 15.38
OF 37 11 29.7% 15.83
Longshot 7 2 28.6% 11.26
Total 104 24 23.1% 12.85

 

If you have any suggestions or feedback for the article, follow me and hit me up on Twitter @Rotopilot

[wysija_form id=”1″]

 

ATTN Dynasty Commissioners: Do you want to do something cool for your league? How about a 1-hour live show dedicated to YOUR league? Team-by-team breakdowns, rankings, and more. For details and to book a show, visit: GoingFor2.com/plp.

The GoingFor2 Live Podcast

Brad Richter

Growing up, I was always intrigued with stats, from the back of baseball, football and basketball cards to playing dice rolling simulation games, while tracking the stats for the players on my team. My fantasy sports obsession began in college running fantasy football leagues with friends and has expanded into playing in both fantasy baseball and fantasy basketball leagues, and most recently Daily Fantasy Sports. I consider myself a “stats guy” by nature and lean on data to back up my advice and analysis of strategy techniques and player evaluations. That said, I have also always felt that sometimes you must go with a gut instinct based on things you have seen watching players play, even when the numbers don’t back it up. I feel that it is this mix of analysis that leads to the most successful formula when competing in fantasy sports.

Related Articles

Back to top button