Top Pitching Values
Noah Syndergaard (DK – $10700, FD – $8400) – If you read this every day, you know the drill by now, the Nationals are a depleted baseball team right now and the Mets’ pitchers are prime to take advantage. Syndergaard has a 2.96 SIERA and 25.9% strikeout rate on the year, making Thor another great option for the early slate, especially on Fanduel.
Mike Bolsinger (DK – $7200, FD – $6100) – While the Braves are significantly worse against lefties, they are still a mediocre team against righties and without their first baseman that was best able to face righties. The Braves have a 0.306 wOBA (20th) and 17.4% strikeout rate (4th) on the year. While that isn’t a lot of whiffs, they have struck out 20.7% over the last 14 days, so the potential is there. Bolsinger has a 3.43 SIERA and 22.5% strikeout rate in the year, and as one of the biggest favorites on the day at -152, makes a nice SP2 on the early slate.
Lance Lynn (DK – $9900, FD – $9600) – Despite Jose Fernandez and Sonny Gray pitching on the evening slate, I like Lynn the best against the White Sox. Lynn has quietly pitched great this year with a 3.32 SIERA and 25.7% strikeout rate on the year. Meanwhile, the pedestrian White Sox post a 0.297 wOBA (25th) and 19.6% streikout rate (14th) agaianst RHP, and a 0.283 wOBA (25th) and 21.4% strikeout rate (18tH) over the last 14 days. Lynn is a -137 favorite and is easily the top cash game play of the night.
Top Hitter Values
Prince Fielder 1B (DK – $5000, FD – $4400) – Fielder has 4 hits, 4 RBI, 2 Rs, and a HR over the last two games at Coors and his price went down $200 again. He loses the platoon advantage, but De La Rosa allows a 0.383 wOBA to LHH and Fielder puts up a 0.348 wOBA and 0.183 ISO against LHP. He’s a great play again.
Matt Holliday OF (DK – $3900, FD – $3100) – Holliday is back and DHing for the Cards and hit a homerun last night. Today he gets to face John Danks, who allows a 0.382 wOBA and 0.528 SLG to RHH, along with his 4.48 SIERA. Holliday has a 0.363 wOBA against LHP and makes a solid mid-priced option in the outfield for the night slate.
Gerardo Parra OF (DK – $3800, FD – $3400) – Another mid-priced outfielder in a great position is Parra. He’s picked up right were he left of after the All-Star break and faces the Indians least imposing pitcher in Cody Anderson. Despite allowing only a 0.216 wOBA to LHH and posting a 0.89 ERA, Anderson has a 4.44 SIERA and the wheels could be coming off soon. Parra has a 0.363 wOBA and 0.194 ISO against RHP on the year and has been even hotter lately with a 0.405 wOBA and 0.250 ISO over the last 14 days. He’s a great value in the OF for the early slate.
Top Value Plays
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Jake Smolinski OF (DK – $2100, FD – $3000) – His price only went up $100 and the matchup gets even better with a weaker lefty in Felix Doubrunt. Lock and load again if he’s hitting in the middle of the order again and you need a solid punt play.
Top Stacks
Colorado Rockies vs. Martin Perez (Tex)
Texas Rangers vs. Jorge De La Rosa (Col)
Oakland Athletics vs. Felix Doubrunt (Tor)
New York Yankees vs. Kevin Gausman (Bal)
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